Trading the Falling Wedge Pattern

If there is no expansion in volume, then the breakout will not be convincing. While this article will focus on the falling wedge as a reversal pattern, it can also fit into the continuation category. As a continuation pattern, the falling wedge will still slope down, but the slope will be against the prevailing uptrend. As a reversal pattern, the falling wedge slopes down and with the prevailing trend. Regardless of the type , falling wedges are regarded as bullish patterns.

descending wedge stock pattern

The falling wedge is designed to spot a decrease in downside momentum and alert technicians to a potential trend reversal. Even though selling pressure may be diminishing, demand does not win out until resistance is broken. As with most patterns, it is important to wait for a breakout and combine other aspects of technical analysis to confirm signals. The falling wedge pattern can be an excellent means to identify a reversal in the market. Here traders can use technical analysis to connect lower lows and lower highs to make the following wedge pattern.

A Historical Case of the Rising Wedge

The rising and falling wedge patterns can provide useful signals of upcoming price action, if you know how to trade them. When you notice a break in the signal line, you should enter the forex market in the same direction as the breakout. Traders ought to know the differences between the rising and falling wedge patterns in order to identify and trade them effectively. To trade the descending wedge pattern, you’d look to open a buy position once the market breaks through support, in order to take advantage of the resulting bullish price action. However, a break out doesn’t necessarily mean that an uptrend is definitely on the way – so you’ll want to pay attention to your risk management too.

descending wedge stock pattern

The falling wedge pattern, as well as rising wedge patterns, converge to the smaller price channel. This means that the distance between where a trader would enter the trade and the price where they would open a stop loss order is relatively tight. Here it can be relatively easy to get kicked out of the trade for minimum loss, but if the stock moves to the trader’s benefit, it can result in an excellent return. A wedge pattern is considered to be a pattern which is forming at the top or bottom of the trend. It is a type of formation in which trading activities are confined within converging straight lines which form a pattern.

Is a descending triangle bullish or bearish?

It is a bearish candlestick pattern that turns bullish when price breaks out of wedge. Falling wedge patterns form by connecting at least two to three lower highs and two to three lower lows which become trend lines. The falling wedge pattern name might throw you off because it sounds like it’d be bearish but it isn’t. The falling wedge pattern is a bullish pattern that begins wide at the top and continues to contract as prices fall.

descending wedge stock pattern

Instead, the buyers jump in to protect the support line, but at an earlier period. This indicates that the buyers are gathering strength and biding their time until there is a possible break to the upside. Hence, this forms an opportunity to take long positions in the market. In order to understand the falling wedge pattern, let us first try to understand what a wedge means. If the resistance line is broken instead, then the ascending wedge has failed.

A falling wedge is a continuation pattern if it appears in an uptrend and is a reversal pattern when it appears in a downtrend. The falling wedge pattern is a useful pattern that signals future bullish momentum. This article provides a technical approach to trading the falling wedge, using forex and gold examples, and highlights key points to keep in mind when trading this pattern.

To identify an exit, compute the target price for by adding the height of the pattern to the upward Breakout level. Pattern height is the difference between the highest high and the lowest low. A falling wedge pattern consists of two downward-sloping lines, in which the top line of resistance slopes downward at a greater angle than the bottom line of support. Falling wedges are fairly difficult patterns to truly identify in trading.

Differences Between Descending Broadening Wedge and Descending Triangle:

Then buyers arrive at the cryptocurrency market, and consequently, the fall in prices begins to lose its momentum. When a security’s price has been falling over time, a wedge pattern can occur just as the trend makes its final downward move. The trend lines drawn above the highs and below the lows on the price chart pattern can converge as the price slide loses momentum and buyers step in to slow the rate of decline. Before the lines converge, the price may breakout above the upper trend line.

  • In the days following the big market crash that began on Feb. 27, 2007, the market continued to move down until it found the bottom on March 5, 2007.
  • After the trend line breakout, there was a brief pullback to support from the trend line extension.
  • To identify an exit, compute the target price for by adding the height of the pattern to the upward Breakout level.
  • Falling wedges are fairly difficult patterns to truly identify in trading.

The first example shows a rising wedge that follows a strong uptrend and develops over an approximately three-month period. The true breakout is a bearish reversal, as expected for rising wedges, and comes on high trading volume. The area of the wedge breakout then serves as a resistance line on a subsequent rally. Note that the volume on the bearish breakout is relatively low in this continuation move, although it is still higher than the trading volume in the days prior to the breakout.

Progressively higher bottoms with a not-as-steep slope

But then there’s light at the end of the tunnel since it’s a reversal pattern. You won’t force patterns to align with your trendline but have a laid-back approach when drawing them. First off, the knowledge will enable you spot this pattern easily on crypto, forex, and stock charts. A pullback refers to the falling back of a price of a stock or commodity from its recent pricing peak. The second indication is to look for how far the retrace has advanced from the beginning of the downtrend.

This means that the breakout should happen at the inferior trend line, and results a continued price movement. It provides crypto traders with opportunities to take sell positions or average what does a falling wedge indicate their position. This initial large price movement also determines the direction of the price explosion since pennants are continuation patterns rather than signals of an incoming reversal.

Differences Between Descending Broadening Wedge and Falling Wedge:

Leveraged trading in foreign currency or off-exchange products on margin carries significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors. We advise you to carefully consider whether trading is appropriate for you based on your personal circumstances. After the trend line breakout, there was a brief pullback to support from the trend line extension. The stock consolidated for a few weeks and then advanced further on increased volume again. FCX provides a textbook example of a falling wedge at the end of a long downtrend.

CASE 2: formation of a descending broadening wedge after a peak

Taking a long position after spotting this pattern would have given very good returns just in a very small period of time. With the progression of prices, volumes traded show a decline in numbers. Volatility grows throughout the pattern, as bulls and bears battle to take control. You might also want to consider setting a limit order at your profit target. Falling wedges are typically reversal signals that occur at the end of a strong downtrend. However, they can occur in the middle of a strong upward movement, in which case the bullish movement at the end of the wedge is a continuation of the overall bullish trend.

As far as volumes are concerned, they keep on declining with each new price advance or wave up, indicating that the demand is weakening at the higher price level. In a bullish trend what seems to be a Rising Wedge may actually be a Flag or a Pennant requiring about 4 weeks to complete. A falling wedge pattern will have a bullish trading bias, unlike a descending triangle pattern, which has a bearish trading bias.

These patterns have an unusually good track record for forecasting price reversals. Traders can look to the volume indicator to see higher volume in the move up. Additionally, divergence can be observed as the market is making lower lows but the stochastic indicator is making higher lows – this indicates a potential reversal.

The Ascending Broadening Wedge is one of six Broadening Wedge patterns to be found in price charts. Chris Douthit, MBA, CSPO, is a former professional trader for Goldman Sachs and the founder of His work, market predictions, and options strategies approach has been featured on NASDAQ, Seeking Alpha, Marketplace, and Hackernoon. Inside days are candlestick charts that occur within the bounds of a previous days’ highs and lows.

CASE 1: formation of a descending broadening wedge after a trough

When price touches the bottom trendline for the third time and starts climbing then buy. For example, price makes the third valley and touches the provisional trendline , confirming the pattern. With the Ascending Broadening Wedge formation we are looking for three peaks and three valleys with tops and bottoms forming the trendlines. Partnerships Help your customers succeed in the markets with a HowToTrade partnership. Trading analysts Meet the market analyst team that will be providing you with the best trading knowledge.

The limitation of triangles is the potential for a false breakdown. There are even situations where the trend lines will need to be redrawn as the price action breaks out in the opposite direction – no chart pattern is perfect. If a breakdown doesn’t occur, the stock could rebound to re-test the upper trend line resistance before making another move lower to re-test lower trend line support levels. The more times that the price touches the support and resistance levels, the more reliable the chart pattern. A falling wedge trading pattern shows both the support and resistance lines sloping downward, but the resistance line slopes down at a greater angle than the bottom support line. The pattern is generally considered bullish and can be a market continuation or reversal pattern.

This is a fake breakout or “fakeout” and is a reality in the financial markets. The fakeout scenario underscores the importance of placing stops in the right place – allowing some breathing room before the trade is potentially closed out. Traders can place a stop below the lowest traded price in the wedge or even below the wedge itself.

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